Confidence level is pretty much a probability number because we can’t always be right or wrong. There are several key factors that play into calculating the confidence level like time, relevancy, and accuracy. When one needs to make a haste decision, they need to ensure they have all relevant information in a timely manner. At times, information may always not be accurate and most likely be outdated at times and requires time to gather.
To properly assess relevance, one needs to understand what mission they are dealing with to properly identify the types of assets involved, regulatory requirements, threat postures and more. When it comes to assessing accuracy, one needs to understand what the information being provided means and how it is curated and provided. As for time, one needs to calculate things like curation and sharing processes. There will be a different timeline depending on the type of data one is looking for and one needs to understand if it’s readily available on hand or it needs to be collected.